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Prediction topic

Legal & Justice

Public receipts across every tracked speaker and show.

Predictions80
Resolved28
Accuracy71.4%
Average boldness62.9

The Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee will vote 8-7 along party lines to hold Anthony Fauci in contempt.

Original quote
my my full expectation is that that vote will be party line. That that that that uh, that committee has an eight to seven Republican majority, So I'm assuming all eight Republicans will vote for it, and I assume all seven Democrats will vote against it
Quote begins at 27:35
Pending

Anthony Fauci will testify under oath before Congress on July 29, 2026.

Original quote
Fauci is now under subpoena to testify under oath on Capitol Hill this Wednesday. After years of media worship and institutional protection, the man who helped shut down the country is finally going to have to answer questions under penalty of perjury.
Quote begins at 06:03
Outcome resolved 2026-07-29
Correct

At the congressional hearing on Wednesday July 29, 2026, Anthony Fauci will evade rather than answer substantively, repeatedly saying he cannot recall (as James Comey did) instead of admitting he lied

Original quote
so I imagine he's going to be feeling foot loose and fancy free and expecting all of his media buddies to cover for him that's what I think because I remember when James Comey testified to the House Oversight Committee 245 times he said I couldn't remember he didn't know or it was outside of his expertise so I that's what I think he's going to do
Quote begins at 22:43
Outcome resolved 2026-07-29
Correct

The Supreme Court will next rule that Title IX bars biological males from playing in girls'/women's sports

Original quote
And the next step will be to get the ruling that boys may not be allowed to play in girls sports because of title nine, because girls are legislatively entitled to have a safe same sex only athletic environment in which to play sports. That's what's coming next, Megan.
Quote begins at 1:33:28
Pending

After the Supreme Court's Trump v. Slaughter ruling, the so-called independent commissions (FTC, FCC, FEC) will no longer be bipartisan — the out-party will hold no commissioner seats

Original quote
I think there's a real possibility, affected a likelihood, that these so called independent commissions will not have bipartisan commissions. I think going forward you're going to see commissions like the FTC, the FCC, potentially the FEC, the various commissions that are bipartisan.
Timestamp not recorded
Pending

The Supreme Court's birthright-citizenship ruling will be a narrow, statute-based ruling that leaves the question to Congress rather than resolving the Fourteenth Amendment question

Original quote
Nevertheless, I do expect that to be a narrow ruling in keeping with the cacharacter of this court trying to say, hey, this statute, this Congress can redefine it whatever
Timestamp not recorded
Outcome resolved 2026-06-30
Incorrect

The jury's verdict in the Karmelo Anthony trial will be guilty on the murder count, not the lesser manslaughter count

Original quote
There's just no chance in my mind that they are not going to find him guilty, Carmelo Anthony. I could be wrong. Juries sometimes do surprising things, but I will be shocked, shocked if this is anything other than guilty on the murder count.
Quote begins at 01:56
Pending

The White House and DOJ will announce a change or modification to the $1.776 billion weaponization Judgment Fund

Original quote
Here's what's going to happen, Ben, There's gonna be some change to this judgment fund. I don't know what it's gonna be, but it will be something that the White House and the Department of Justice agrees on. They're going to announce it
Quote begins at 22:51
Outcome resolved 2026-06-01
Correct

The Supreme Court's Voting Rights Act ruling will eliminate at least one majority-minority congressional district in Louisiana

Original quote
It's weakening a key provision that is going to eliminate at least a seat here in Louisiana that was for a majority minority district, which would obviously end up yielding a Republican white man instead, almost certainly.
Quote begins at 00:59
Pending

The Virginia Supreme Court will not block the new 10-1 Virginia congressional map approved by the referendum

Original quote
So it's unlikely if they allowed the vote to take place, now that it took place and in democracy it function and the people voted that the Virginia Supreme Court is going to block the map that they've already basically approved through prior litigation.
Jump to quote · 53:26
Outcome resolved 2026-05-08
Incorrect

Law enforcement will not keep 400 officers assigned to the Nancy Guthrie disappearance investigation

Original quote
They're claiming that they're not going to reduce the man count, you know, man and woman count on officers, but there's no way they're going to keep 400 officers on this case. They're just, they're not. They are not.
Quote begins at 1:11:28
Outcome resolved 2026-03-06
Correct

The Utah capital prosecution of Tyler Robinson (accused of assassinating Charlie Kirk) will never go to trial — it will be resolved by a plea deal that takes capital murder off the table

Original quote
And I keep saying, and so, because these guys can prove me wrong, I just don't think you're ever going to get to a trial in Utah. I think they're going to pour the same thing. They're going to pull here. They're going to try to cut some plea deal, getting off of capital murder away from a murder charge.
Quote begins at 39:52
Pending

The Supreme Court will uphold state laws barring transgender girls from competing in girls' school sports in the pending cases.

Original quote
I was just at there at the supreme court. Well, we can half ago watching Your deputy out there arguing the case on whether boys Bands against boys and girls sports were appropriate and constitutional. I think it's going to go your way
Quote begins at 33:12
Outcome resolved 2026-06-30
Correct

Courts will overturn President Trump's executive-order ban on institutional investors buying single-family homes.

Original quote
President Trump signed an executive order banning institutional investors from buying residential real estate, which is likely unconstitutional and will be overturned by the courts. That's my prediction. You can't do everything through executive order. It's going to be challenged. It'll go to the courts. It'll be overturned.
Quote begins at 1:54:00
Pending

The Supreme Court will uphold the challenged Idaho and West Virginia laws barring male athletes from girls' and women's sports.

Original quote
So now in the wake of Tuesday's Supreme Court hearing, no ruling yet, but it's clear the high court is going to rule that the 27 states that have bands against boys participating in girls sports, it's going to uphold those bands.
Quote begins at 54:15
Outcome resolved 2026-06-30
Correct

The Supreme Court will vote 6-3 to uphold the challenged Idaho and West Virginia laws barring male athletes from girls' and women's sports.

Original quote
The court's going to uphold the bans. So I think the 27 states are going to be happy, and I predict, I think it's going to be 6-3, that the High Court will uphold those bans as constitutionally valid.
Quote begins at 03:07
Outcome resolved 2026-06-30
Correct

The Supreme Court will uphold the challenged Idaho and West Virginia laws barring male athletes from girls' and women's sports as constitutionally valid.

Original quote
The court's going to uphold the bans. So I think the 27 states are going to be happy, and I predict, I think it's going to be 6-3, that the High Court will uphold those bans as constitutionally valid.
Quote begins at 03:07
Outcome resolved 2026-06-30
Correct