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Political speaker record

Ted Cruz

On Verdict (Ted Cruz)

Predictions161
Resolved57
Accuracy50.9%
Average boldness63.7

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Predictions

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The Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee will vote 8-7 along party lines to hold Anthony Fauci in contempt.

Original quote
my my full expectation is that that vote will be party line. That that that that uh, that committee has an eight to seven Republican majority, So I'm assuming all eight Republicans will vote for it, and I assume all seven Democrats will vote against it
Quote begins at 27:35
Pending

Todd Blanche will be confirmed by the Senate as U.S. Attorney General, and quickly (within roughly two months of his mid-July 2026 confirmation hearing)

Original quote
And I'll tell you look that at the end of the day, it was a bad hearing for the Democrats because none of them laid a glove on Todd Blanche. And I think he's going to end up being confirmed quickly.
Timestamp not recorded
Outcome resolved 2026-08-08
Correct

After the Supreme Court's Trump v. Slaughter ruling, the so-called independent commissions (FTC, FCC, FEC) will no longer be bipartisan — the out-party will hold no commissioner seats

Original quote
I think there's a real possibility, affected a likelihood, that these so called independent commissions will not have bipartisan commissions. I think going forward you're going to see commissions like the FTC, the FCC, potentially the FEC, the various commissions that are bipartisan.
Timestamp not recorded
Pending

Maine Democrats will choose Governor Janet Mills as Graham Platner's replacement U.S. Senate nominee

Original quote
The most obvious choice would be Janet Mills, the Democrat governor who ran against Platner and lost, although Mills has said publicly that she's not running for Senate. Although that's the kind of statement I am not currently running for Senate is not the same thing as I would turn down the nomination. If I were to guess, I would cynically say that's who they pick because they think she would have the best chance of winning.
Quote begins at 27:43
Outcome resolved 2026-07-25
Incorrect

Following Trump v. Slaughter, the so-called independent commissions (FTC, SEC, FEC) will no longer have commissioners from the party out of power - presidents will staff them only with their own party's appointees

Original quote
I think the consequence of this decision as you're not going to see minority commissioners from the party out of power. You will see the independent agencies operate much like the rest of the executive
Timestamp not recorded
Pending