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Political speaker record

Tim Pool

On Timcast

Predictions170
Resolved39
Accuracy51.3%
Average boldness61.8

Topic footprint

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Predictions

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The current Israel-Hamas ceasefire will be broken by one of the parties.

Original quote
announcing this like oh it's gonna be great come on you're gonna end up with egg on your face because the palisinians are not gonna or or the israelis maybe maybe they'll break the ceasefire someone's gonna throw a rock and so i'd if guys and be like blam you know like that happens all the time too
Quote begins at 1:05:39
Pending

New York City's city-run grocery stores will run out of goods, be unable to restock fast enough, and develop long lines and shortages.

Original quote
The government run grocery store will then run out of goods and not be able to restock fast enough. You will then get massive lines out the door with shortages in the only grocery store within five miles.
Quote begins at 25:04
Pending

New York City's subsidized city-run grocery stores will cause nearby bodegas to go out of business.

Original quote
The Bodega's can't compete and even if they lose five percent of their business they go out of business. What's going to happen is in the surrounding areas people are going to choose to go to the government location instead. It's going to cause the Bodega's each to lose a small percentage but enough for them to go under.
Quote begins at 24:48
Pending

The New Jersey non-citizen voter registration case is the first thread: many additional ineligible voters improperly registered to vote will be uncovered elsewhere

Original quote
So I think this is the first thread we pull on and I believe this is going to indicate there are going to be many others improperly registered to vote who are not eligible to vote
Quote begins at 08:37
Pending

Trump's 2026-07-17 address to the nation will contain nothing substantive beyond already-known claims that China interfered in the 2020 election

Original quote
Some speculate. I would speculate. He's going to say, hey, China interfered. Thank you and have a nice day. And I don't think we will get anything substantive other than what we already know.
Quote begins at 01:48
Pending

Trump's prime-time address will be a waste of time: he will accuse China of election interference and nothing will change (no consequential action follows)

Original quote
Here's my prediction. It's a waste of time. Nothing's going to happen. He's going to say very little. He's going to go China did it. Thank you the bad. Nothing's going to change.
Quote begins at 46:31
Outcome resolved 2026-07-16
Incorrect

Trump's announced prime-time speech (Thursday, ~2026-07-16/17) will consist of him alleging the elections were fraudulent, and no concrete action (arrests, indictments, or enforceable orders) will follow from it

Original quote
what I think honestly he's gonna go on tv he's gonna say it's really bad bad for our country our elections are fraud thank you goodbye nothing happens
Quote begins at 26:40
Outcome resolved 2026-07-16
Incorrect

The Supreme Court's birthright-citizenship ruling (expected 2026-07-01) will uphold birthright citizenship for children born on US soil to foreign nationals

Original quote
So they're likely going to say a Chinese national who flies to Guam, gives birth to a baby, and then a day later flies back to China, that child raised under the Chinese Communist Party can then fly to the United States 30 years later, and they do have to live in the United States for 15 years, can then be president of the United States despite not speaking English and being adherent to the Chinese Communist Party. I guarantee you that's what she's going to rule on because she is terrified and cowardly.
Quote begins at 11:52
Outcome resolved 2026-06-30
Correct

The Supreme Court in Watson v. RNC will rule that no jurisdiction may count ballots received after election day

Original quote
Can any jurisdiction count ballots after election day? Oh, I would say no. And it seems it seems very likely because of the oral argument, Supreme Court's going to say, no, you cannot.
Quote begins at 1:36:32
Outcome resolved 2026-06-29
Incorrect