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Political speaker record

Andrew Kolvet

On Charlie Kirk

Predictions110
Resolved43
Accuracy72.1%
Average boldness61.3

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Predictions

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Abdul El-Sayed will win the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary for United States senator from Michigan.

Original quote
We're in the dog days of summer officially, and schools get back in. But man Murderer's row DSA Murder's row is coming from Michigan. We have the long awaited for primary on the Democrat side and it happens tonight, and we are expecting l Sayed to win that. But let the voters decide in Michigan.
Quote begins at 01:27
Outcome resolved 2026-08-04
Correct

The suspect arrested for the incendiary device at the federal building in Lower Manhattan will turn out to be a radical left-wing / DSA / antifa-inspired actor

Original quote
this is probably I would put dollars to donuts here, Blake, that we're going to find out this was a DSA guy or some radical leftist anarchists, ANTIFA, somebody that's inspired by radical left wing ideology
Timestamp not recorded
Outcome resolved 2026-07-21
Correct

The Save America Act will not be implemented in time to affect the November 2026 midterm elections, even if it passes

Original quote
Yeah, no, it wouldn't be in time for the midterms. So in Blake's right, there'd be court challenges and things like that. But even the states that are willing to implement it, namely red states, it wouldn't. There wouldn't be enough time to implement it, at least fully in any meaningful way.
Quote begins at 53:08
Pending

The state's compilation surveillance video showing Tyler Robinson on the UVU campus will be admitted into evidence at the preliminary hearing when court resumes on July 7, 2026

Original quote
the video will be resubmitted as evidence. The only question is and it will make it into evidence. It's only a matter of question of in what form will it be? The raw original form or will they because they're gonna resubmit this, this video as evidence when the court's back in session tomorrow morning.
Quote begins at 24:07
Outcome resolved 2026-07-07
Correct

The Supreme Court's birthright-citizenship ruling will be a narrow, statute-based ruling that leaves the question to Congress rather than resolving the Fourteenth Amendment question

Original quote
Nevertheless, I do expect that to be a narrow ruling in keeping with the cacharacter of this court trying to say, hey, this statute, this Congress can redefine it whatever
Timestamp not recorded
Outcome resolved 2026-06-30
Incorrect

The Supreme Court will hand down its birthright-citizenship decision within roughly the next two weeks (by about July 10, 2026)

Original quote
A lot of people are thinking that decision was going to come down this morning. It did not, So we're looking at probably maybe next week, the week after, right, that's kind of what we're aiming for.
Timestamp not recorded
Outcome resolved 2026-06-30
Correct

The DSA-backed Palestinian Muslim woman who won the June 2026 Democratic primary for a New York State Senate seat (rendered 'Amber Quass' in the transcript) will win that seat in the November 2026 general election

Original quote
She is the first Palestinian Muslim woman elected to the New York State Senate. She's in the primary at this point, but she's gonna win.
Quote begins at 08:49
Pending

Utah's current court-ordered congressional redistricting map will not be overturned or redrawn in time for the November 2026 midterms

Original quote
But I am being told credibly that no, we cannot overturn the current core ordered congressional redistricting map for twenty twenty six. I don't know if that's a legal issue or a timing issue. You could expect that those will get redone for twenty twenty eight, though, and so it's too late for twenty twenty six for whatever reason.
Timestamp not recorded
Pending