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Political speaker record

Ben Shapiro

On The Ben Shapiro Show

Predictions156
Resolved29
Accuracy55.2%
Average boldness65.3

Topic footprint

Public receipts

Predictions

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Republicans will win the Michigan United States Senate seat in the 2026 general election.

Original quote
Like, I think that Michigan is going to be an uphill battle for the Democrats because the more people find out about Abdul Elsai, the less they like him. ... I would suspect that Republicans hold Texas, hold Maine, hold Michigan, take Michigan and probably hold Iowa.
Quote begins at 42:40
Pending

Candace Owens will not be arrested in 2026.

Original quote
apparently 8.5% of people think that Candace Owens is going to be arrested this year. I disagree, by the way. She's not going to be arrested because as said earlier, there's no evidence for the idea that she's wearing herself on street corner. So I don't think that's going to happen.
Quote begins at 20:08
Pending

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will announce a campaign for president in the 2028 election before the presidential primary season begins, on or before 2027-12-31.

Original quote
Pretty much everybody, at least a huge majority of people in the calcium markets, which, again, a sponsor of ours, believe that she is going to announce a presidential run before the actual presidential season starts next year. Again, I find it hard to believe that she wouldn't.
Quote begins at 27:28
Pending

Tucker Carlson will not mount a credible campaign for president in 2028.

Original quote
Tucker's is like better run for president as I am to move to India and start my cricket career. I just don't think it's going to happen. Just disagree. Just don't think you might do it as a lark. But as a credible campaign, I don't believe it. I don't believe the support's there for it.
Jump to quote · 1:23:26
Pending

The joint U.S.-Saudi study under the new nuclear agreement will not determine that a uranium-enrichment facility in Saudi Arabia is warranted.

Original quote
A key provision would have American companies build a uranium enrichment facility in Saudi. If a joint US Saudi study determines such a step would be warranted. Now, I assume that that joint study will never assume that that step would be warranted long term.
Jump to quote · 47:42
Pending