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Political speaker record

Ana Kasparian

On The Young Turks

Predictions137
Resolved46
Accuracy80.4%
Average boldness62.9

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Predictions

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The US war against Iran will continue rather than end, despite the current pause in bombing

Original quote
But now it looks like that escalation is on hold. And I am not dumb enough to think that it's over. Trump realizes we've depleted our military assets and as a result, maybe we should just call it a day and walk away. I think that this war will continue.
Quote begins at 41:19
Pending

Trump will not restrict international exports of US-produced oil and natural gas in order to hold down domestic prices

Original quote
I mean, look, if Trump wants to keep oil prices down here in the United States by preventing the international trade of the oil and natural gas that's produced here in the US, I mean, that would be a choice. I don't think he's gonna do that though.
Quote begins at 39:56
Pending

The United States will end its military base presence in the Gulf states (e.g. Bahrain, Kuwait) following Iranian strikes on those bases

Original quote
Now, another thing to keep in mind, Cenk, is that it is very likely that following the destruction of US military bases in these Gulf countries, the US will probably end its presence in these Gulf countries.
Quote begins at 08:32
Pending

Transit through the Strait of Hormuz will not be toll-free in the near term; Iran (with Oman) will impose transit fees/tolls on shipping through the Strait

Original quote
Because right now as we speak, Iran and Oman are formalizing their plan for how they'll charge for transit through the Strait of Hormuz. So I don't think toll free transit is in our future anytime soon.
Quote begins at 1:14:57
Pending