Record #7796
The Supreme Court will vote 6-3 to uphold the challenged Idaho and West Virginia laws barring male athletes from girls' and women's sports.
CorrectRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #7796 The Megyn Kelly Show · Massive Day For Women's Sports at SCOTUS, and Remembering Scott Adams, with Kristen Waggoner and Andrew Klavan | Ep. 1229
Original quoteThe court's going to uphold the bans. So I think the 27 states are going to be happy, and I predict, I think it's going to be 6-3, that the High Court will uphold those bans as constitutionally valid.
Quote begins at 03:07
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
How the call settles
YES if the dispositive Supreme Court vote upholding the bans is 6-3 in each controlling judgment, or a single 6-3 controlling judgment resolves both cases; NO if the bans are not upheld or the dispositive vote count differs from 6-3.
Our reasoning
YES on the research record because The Supreme Court's June 30, 2026 ruling upholding the Idaho and West Virginia bans split 6-3 along ideological lines on the dispositive equal-protection question (unanimous only on the separate Title IX claim), with Justice Kavanaugh authoring the majority opinion -- matching the predicted 6-3 vote for the controlling judgment.. Applied stored rule: YES if the dispositive Supreme Court vote upholding the bans is 6-3 in each controlling judgment, or a single 6-3 controlling judgment resolves both cases; NO if the bans are not upheld or the dispositive vote count differs from 6-3.
Outcome evidence
The Supreme Court's June 30, 2026 ruling upholding the Idaho and West Virginia bans split 6-3 along ideological lines on the dispositive equal-protection question (unanimous only on the separate Title IX claim), with Justice Kavanaugh authoring the majority opinion -- matching the predicted 6-3 vote for the controlling judgment.
Outcome date: 2026-06-30
Verdict recorded: 2026-08-12
Basis: research