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Political speaker record

Scott Galloway

On Pivot

Predictions155
Resolved26
Accuracy61.5%
Average boldness62.8

Topic footprint

Public receipts

Predictions

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SpaceX shares will rise in after-hours trading following its August 4, 2026 first earnings report.

Original quote
So as much as I like to ship both SpaceX, if I were to make a bet, it would be that it will be a significant pop because of all the short selling and the anything but bad news will result in a short squeeze that sends the stock up temporarily.
Quote begins at 25:34
Outcome resolved 2026-08-04
Incorrect

The AI market will bifurcate like the auto market: low-cost Chinese models will take the majority of volume while US frontier models remain premium and high-margin

Original quote
you're seeing the market in an AI buy for Kate and to German automobile. My high price, high margin companies that won't be as relevant as the Japanese or the low cost manufacturers, which will be Chinese AI.
Quote begins at 46:17
Pending

OpenAI will massively decrease its spending and capex commitments within six months (by the end of 2026)

Original quote
This is what's going to happen in the next six months. This is going to be the great exit from cost. This is going to be the great reduction in spending and CapEx commitments by open AI. They are going to massively decrease their expenditure and CapEx commitments.
Quote begins at 28:01
Pending