Record #15212
Republicans will win the Michigan United States Senate seat in the 2026 general election.
PendingRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #15212 The Ben Shapiro Show · Ep. 2489 - You’re Not Racist To Oppose The "Teen Takeover" Trend
Original quoteLike, I think that Michigan is going to be an uphill battle for the Democrats because the more people find out about Abdul Elsai, the less they like him. ... I would suspect that Republicans hold Texas, hold Maine, hold Michigan, take Michigan and probably hold Iowa.
Quote begins at 42:40
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
How the call settles
YES if the Republican nominee wins the 2026 Michigan United States Senate general election held 2026-11-03, per certified Michigan Secretary of State results. The transcript renders the list as 'hold Michigan, take Michigan', an apparent transcription artifact; the party direction Shapiro predicts is unambiguous in context and is what is scored.
Our reasoning
Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: YES if the Republican nominee wins the 2026 Michigan United States Senate general election held 2026-11-03, per certified Michigan Secretary of State results. The transcript renders the list as 'hold Michigan, take Michigan', an apparent transcription artifact; the party direction Shapiro predicts is unambiguous in context and is what is scored. Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.