Record #15213

Republicans will hold the Iowa United States Senate seat in the 2026 general election.

Ben Shapiro: On The Ben Shapiro Show · Prediction made 2026-08-19

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #152132026-08-19
The Ben Shapiro Show · Ep. 2489 - You’re Not Racist To Oppose The "Teen Takeover" Trend
Original quote
So if I were to sort of game this out, I would suspect that Republicans hold Texas, hold Maine, hold Michigan, take Michigan and probably hold Iowa.
Quote begins at 42:47
Full episode audio

Prediction time2026-08-19

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-08-19

FirmnessLoose

TopicElections

Resolve by2026-11-03

Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

YES if the Republican nominee (Ashley Hinson) wins the 2026 Iowa United States Senate general election held 2026-11-03, per certified Iowa Secretary of State results. Shapiro hedged with 'probably', so firmness is Loose.

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: YES if the Republican nominee (Ashley Hinson) wins the 2026 Iowa United States Senate general election held 2026-11-03, per certified Iowa Secretary of State results. Shapiro hedged with 'probably', so firmness is Loose. Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.