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Record #6839

The Supreme Court in Watson v. RNC will rule that no jurisdiction may count ballots received after election day

Incorrect

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #6839

    Timcast · SCOTUS Hands Trump MASSIVE WIN, MASS DEPORTATIONS Coming w/ Chase Geiser & Steven Bak

    Original quote
    Can any jurisdiction count ballots after election day? Oh, I would say no. And it seems it seems very likely because of the oral argument, Supreme Court's going to say, no, you cannot.
    Quote begins at 1:36:32
Prediction time2026-06-26

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-06-26
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-07-31
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

The Supreme Court's decision in Watson v. RNC holds that ballots received after election day may not be counted

Our reasoning

NO on the research record because The Supreme Court decided Watson v. Republican National Committee on June 29, 2026, ruling 5-4 (opinion by Justice Barrett, joined by Roberts and the three liberals) that federal law does NOT bar states from counting mail ballots received after Election Day, upholding Mississippi's five-business-day grace period. That is the opposite of the predicted holding.. Applied stored rule: The Supreme Court's decision in Watson v. RNC holds that ballots received after election day may not be counted.

Outcome evidence

The Supreme Court decided Watson v. Republican National Committee on June 29, 2026, ruling 5-4 (opinion by Justice Barrett, joined by Roberts and the three liberals) that federal law does NOT bar states from counting mail ballots received after Election Day, upholding Mississippi's five-business-day grace period. That is the opposite of the predicted holding.

Outcome date: 2026-06-29

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-09

Basis: research