Record #8272

Abdul El-Sayed will lose the 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate general election.

Tim Pool: On Timcast · Prediction made 2026-08-07

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #82722026-08-07
Timcast · Trump Signs Order ENDING Birthright Citizenship AGAIN
Original quote
He's very Obama-esque. He's got charisma, man, but I don't think he can win. I don't think so. I think he's, uh, going to lose.
Quote begins at 1:49:35
Full episode · 94d7402b-3bfc-4a4d-b7df-97320e5d220b.libsyn.com

Prediction time2026-08-07

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-08-07

FirmnessFirm

TopicElections

Resolve by2026-11-03

Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

YES if certified election results show Abdul El-Sayed does not win the 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate general election; NO if El-Sayed is elected U.S. senator from Michigan.

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: YES if certified election results show Abdul El-Sayed does not win the 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate general election; NO if El-Sayed is elected U.S. senator from Michigan. Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.