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Record #5568

Ken Paxton will win the November 2026 Texas U.S. Senate general election by a margin of six to ten percentage points

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #5568

    Charlie Kirk · Spencer Pratt, Savior of Los Angeles?

    Original quote
    He's gonna end up winning the general by six to ten points. That's my prediction.
    Timestamp not recorded
Prediction time2026-05-20

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-05-20
FirmnessFirm
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-11-03
Boldness73 · Bold

How the call settles

Certified November 2026 Texas U.S. Senate results show Ken Paxton winning by a margin between 6 and 10 percentage points.

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: Certified November 2026 Texas U.S. Senate results show Ken Paxton winning by a margin between 6 and 10 percentage points. Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.

Polling contextken-paxton

Margin -4.3 points · as of 2026-05-20 · Source