Imperium AmericanumIndependent intelligence · Public evidence
All sections

Record #7788

The Federal Reserve will leave its policy interest-rate target unchanged at its next meeting.

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #7788

    Pivot · Fed Chair Investigation, Trump's Oil Deals, and California's Proposed Wealth Tax

    Original quote
    I think they were going to keep them the same for this particular next session.
    Quote begins at 19:41
Prediction time2026-01-13

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-01-13
FirmnessLoose
TopicEconomy
Resolve by2026-01-28
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

YES if the FOMC leaves its federal-funds target range unchanged at the January 27-28, 2026 meeting; NO if it raises or lowers the range at that meeting.

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because The FOMC voted to maintain the federal-funds target range at 3.5%-3.75% at its January 27-28, 2026 meeting, per the Federal Reserve's official statement; ten members voted for the action while two dissented in favor of a cut.. Applied stored rule: YES if the FOMC leaves its federal-funds target range unchanged at the January 27-28, 2026 meeting; NO if it raises or lowers the range at that meeting.

Outcome evidence

The FOMC voted to maintain the federal-funds target range at 3.5%-3.75% at its January 27-28, 2026 meeting, per the Federal Reserve's official statement; ten members voted for the action while two dissented in favor of a cut.

Outcome date: 2026-01-28

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-12

Basis: research