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Record #4921

US 30-year mortgage rates will rise from their mid-May 2026 level as the 30-year Treasury yield holds above 5.1%

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #4921

    Bannon War Room · Episode 5376: Tina Peters is Set to be FREED!

    Original quote
    The 30 year, which is really tied to the mortgages, went over 5.1% around 5.1%. That means that 30 year mortgage is going to kick up.
    Quote begins at 17:56
Prediction time2026-05-15

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-05-15
FirmnessFirm
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-08-31
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

Freddie Mac's weekly 30-year fixed mortgage average is higher than its mid-May 2026 reading at some point in the following three months

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because Freddie Mac's 30-year fixed average was 6.36% on May 14, 2026 (mid-May reading) and rose to 6.43% (July 2), 6.49% (July 9), 6.55% (July 16) and 6.58% (July 23, 2026) — its highest since August 2025, well above the mid-May level and within the three-month window.. Applied stored rule: Freddie Mac's weekly 30-year fixed mortgage average is higher than its mid-May 2026 reading at some point in the following three months.

Outcome evidence

Freddie Mac's 30-year fixed average was 6.36% on May 14, 2026 (mid-May reading) and rose to 6.43% (July 2), 6.49% (July 9), 6.55% (July 16) and 6.58% (July 23, 2026) — its highest since August 2025, well above the mid-May level and within the three-month window.

Outcome date: 2026-05-21

Verdict recorded: 2026-07-30

Basis: research