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Record #8196

The United States will withdraw all of its military forces from Iraq by September 30, 2026.

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #8196

    Breaking Points · 8/3/26: Trump Backs Down On Iran Strikes, US Forced Out Of Iraq, Munitions Run Low Amid War

    Original quote
    this war, it appears that we are approaching an actual full withdrawal from Iraq. As bases in the Kurdistan region face attacks from Iran and their proxies, Patriot air defense systems that detect and shoot down incoming missiles and drones have already been removed.
    Quote begins at 30:20
Prediction time2026-08-03

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-08-03
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-09-30
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

YES if the United States confirms that all forces covered by the withdrawal agreement have left Iraq by September 30, 2026; NO if any forces covered by that agreement remain in Iraq after that date.

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: YES if the United States confirms that all forces covered by the withdrawal agreement have left Iraq by September 30, 2026; NO if any forces covered by that agreement remain in Iraq after that date. Deadline or event: 2026-09-30.