Record #8090
Iran will close the Strait of Hormuz shortly before the 2026 U.S. midterm elections.
PendingRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #8090 The Ben Shapiro Show · Ep. 2460 - Trump Just Did The Right Thing On Iran
Original quoteThen this will not end and it will not get better and believe you me, right around the time of the election, the Iranians will shut the strait to screw Trump right before the midterms because they know that the Democrats will be far friendlier.
Jump to quote · 27:23
Prediction time2026-07-08
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
Episode published2026-07-08
FirmnessFirm
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-11-03
Boldness70 · Bold
How the call settles
YES if Iran prevents ordinary commercial transit through the Strait of Hormuz for any sustained period between October 4 and November 3, 2026; NO otherwise.
Our reasoning
Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: YES if Iran prevents ordinary commercial transit through the Strait of Hormuz for any sustained period between October 4 and November 3, 2026; NO otherwise. Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.