Record #8076
The United States and Iran will not reach a long-lasting nuclear agreement before December 2026.
PendingRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #8076 The Ben Shapiro Show · Friendly Fire: A Different Kind of Nuclear Deal & Vance's "Communion" Calculus
Original quoteI should mention at this point, our sponsors over at Cal Xi suggest that 42% of people believe that there will be some sort of nuclear deal before October 48% before November, 53% before December. I'm going to go with 0% on this, by the way. I think the chances of a long-lasting nuclear deal with the Iranians, very, very low.
Jump to quote · 15:33
Prediction time2026-06-17
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
Episode published2026-06-17
FirmnessFirm
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-12-01
Boldness70 · Bold
How the call settles
YES if no binding, long-term U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement is signed before December 1, 2026; NO if one is signed before that date.
Our reasoning
Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: YES if no binding, long-term U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement is signed before December 1, 2026; NO if one is signed before that date. Deadline or event: 2026-12-01.