Record #8066
The current U.S.-Iran conflict will not kill thousands of American troops.
PendingRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #8066 The Ben Shapiro Show · Ep. 2436 - How To Stab A White Person & Win
Original quoteSo here's what it doesn't look like, a traditional military loss. It doesn't look like thousands of American troops dead, for example, because that's not going to happen.
Jump to quote · 1:01:04
Prediction time2026-06-02
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
Episode published2026-06-02
FirmnessFirm
TopicForeign Policy
Resolve byConclusion of the current U.S.-Iran conflict
Boldness70 · Bold
How the call settles
YES if fewer than 2,000 U.S. military personnel are killed as a result of the current conflict by its conclusion; NO if 2,000 or more are killed.
Our reasoning
Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: YES if fewer than 2,000 U.S. military personnel are killed as a result of the current conflict by its conclusion; NO if 2,000 or more are killed. Deadline or event: Conclusion of the current U.S.-Iran conflict.