Record #8061

Republican nominee Ken Paxton will defeat Democrat James Talarico in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election.

Ben Shapiro: On The Ben Shapiro Show · Prediction made 2026-05-28

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #80612026-05-28
The Ben Shapiro Show · Ep. 2433 - Inside The Left’s Radical Cos-Playbook To Destroy America
Original quote
Again, I think that Ken Paxton is a worse candidate than John Cornyn on a statewide level. That does not matter. And I think that the Republican is going to swap Tallarico in Texas.
Jump to quote · 24:38
Full episode on YouTube

Prediction time2026-05-28

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-05-28

FirmnessFirm

TopicElections

Resolve by2026-11-03

Boldness73 · Bold

How the call settles

YES if Ken Paxton defeats James Talarico and wins the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election; NO if Talarico or another candidate wins.

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: YES if Ken Paxton defeats James Talarico and wins the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election; NO if Talarico or another candidate wins. Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.

Polling contextken-paxton

Margin -4.3 points · as of 2026-05-28 · Source