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Record #8059

James Fishback will lose the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary to Byron Donalds.

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #8059

    The Ben Shapiro Show · Friendly Fire: Massie's Mess, Trump Victorious & Dr. Oz's War on Fraud

    Original quote
    Jim's Fishbeck is about to get crushed by Byron Donald's down here.
    Jump to quote · 30:32
Prediction time2026-05-21

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-05-21
FirmnessFirm
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-08-18
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

YES if Byron Donalds defeats James Fishback in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary; NO if Fishback finishes ahead of or defeats Donalds.

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because In the August 18, 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary, U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds won the nomination with 47.8% of the vote with 99% of the expected vote reported, defeating a field that included James Fishback, Lt. Gov. Jay Collins and former House Speaker Paul Renner. Fishback publicly called Donalds to congratulate him on winning the Republican nomination. The claim as stated - that Fishback would lose the.... Applied stored rule: YES if Byron Donalds defeats James Fishback in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary; NO if Fishback finishes ahead of or defeats Donalds.

Outcome evidence

In the August 18, 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary, U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds won the nomination with 47.8% of the vote with 99% of the expected vote reported, defeating a field that included James Fishback, Lt. Gov. Jay Collins and former House Speaker Paul Renner. Fishback publicly called Donalds to congratulate him on winning the Republican nomination. The claim as stated - that Fishback would lose the primary to Donalds - came true, so the verdict is YES.

Outcome date: 2026-08-18

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-19

Basis: research

Polling contextjames-fishback

Margin -36.0 points · as of 2026-05-21 · Source