Record #8055
Ken Paxton will win the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate general election.
PendingRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #8055 The Ben Shapiro Show · Ep. 2430 - BRAINROT DEFEATED: Massie Loses In Kentucky
Original quoteNow listen, Paxton is a less attractive general election candidate than Cornyn would have been. Cornyn has won several terms in Texas. He has some crossover appeal Paxton has none, but it's a red state. He's very likely to win.
Jump to quote · 29:00
Prediction time2026-05-20
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
Episode published2026-05-20
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-11-03
Boldness58 · Notable
How the call settles
YES if Ken Paxton wins the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election; NO if another candidate wins.
Our reasoning
Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: YES if Ken Paxton wins the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election; NO if another candidate wins. Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.
Polling contextken-paxton
Margin -4.3 points · as of 2026-05-20 · Source