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Record #8037

States carried by the Republican presidential nominee in 2024 will receive a net gain of eight to ten U.S. House seats in the apportionment following the 2030 census.

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #8037

    The Ben Shapiro Show · Ep. 2417 - HUGE WIN For Trump SCOTUS

    Original quote
    So total numbers, red states are likely to gain eight to 10 congressional seats by 2030.
    Jump to quote · 27:56
Prediction time2026-05-01

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-05-01
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2030-12-31
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

YES if states carried by the Republican presidential nominee in 2024 collectively receive a net gain of 8, 9, or 10 U.S. House seats versus the 2020 apportionment; NO if their collective net gain is outside that range.

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: YES if states carried by the Republican presidential nominee in 2024 collectively receive a net gain of 8, 9, or 10 U.S. House seats versus the 2020 apportionment; NO if their collective net gain is outside that range. Deadline or event: 2030-12-31.