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Record #8035

Iran will not make rail transport work as a bulk alternative route for its petroleum exports during the current blockade.

Ben Shapiro: On The Ben Shapiro Show · Prediction made

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #8035

    The Ben Shapiro Show · Ep. 2415 - Jimmy Kimmel On The Chopping Block AGAIN?!

    Original quote
    And now they're trying to use rail. But rail is not going to work because Iran's own senior rail transport experts are saying there are only two rail corridors to China. They have never been used for petroleum. They have very limited capacity and zero bulk crude infrastructure.
    Jump to quote · 45:56
    Full episode on YouTube
Prediction time2026-04-28

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-04-28
FirmnessFirm
TopicForeign Policy
Resolve byEnd of the current blockade of Iranian petroleum exports
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

YES if Iran fails to establish sustained bulk petroleum exports by rail before the current blockade ends; NO if Iran establishes a functioning bulk rail-export route for petroleum during the blockade.

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: YES if Iran fails to establish sustained bulk petroleum exports by rail before the current blockade ends; NO if Iran establishes a functioning bulk rail-export route for petroleum during the blockade. Deadline or event: End of the current blockade of Iranian petroleum exports.