Record #8000

The United States will seize Iran's Kharg Island during the current conflict.

Ben Shapiro: On The Ben Shapiro Show · Prediction made 2026-03-16

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #80002026-03-16
The Ben Shapiro Show · Ep. 2388 - Did The CIA SPY On Tucker Carlson?!
Original quote
And so the next step, I believe, is coming. The United States is seizure of Harg Island, which again, if you've been listening to the show, you'll know we've been talking about for a while.
Jump to quote · 38:08
Full episode on YouTube

Prediction time2026-03-16

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-03-16

FirmnessLoose

TopicForeign Policy

Resolve byConclusion of the current U.S.-Iran conflict

Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

YES if U.S. forces take physical control of Kharg Island before the current conflict concludes; NO if the conflict concludes without a U.S. seizure of the island.

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: YES if U.S. forces take physical control of Kharg Island before the current conflict concludes; NO if the conflict concludes without a U.S. seizure of the island. Deadline or event: Conclusion of the current U.S.-Iran conflict.