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Record #7994

At least one additional U.S. service member will be wounded or killed before the current Iran operation ends.

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #7994

    The Ben Shapiro Show · Ep. 2378 - BREAKING: Trump DEVASTATES Iranian Defenses, Iran Attacks EVERYONE

    Original quote
    Now, undoubtedly, this is going to be a longer operation. Certainly, I'd be shocked if more soldiers are not wounded or killed because that's the nature of military operations.
    Jump to quote · 32:30
Prediction time2026-03-02

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-03-02
FirmnessLoose
TopicForeign Policy
Resolve byConclusion of the current U.S. military operation against Iran
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

YES if at least one U.S. service member is newly wounded or killed in connection with the Iran operation after this prediction and before the operation concludes; NO if the operation concludes with no additional U.S. service member wounded or killed.

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: YES if at least one U.S. service member is newly wounded or killed in connection with the Iran operation after this prediction and before the operation concludes; NO if the operation concludes with no additional U.S. service member wounded or killed. Deadline or event: Conclusion of the current U.S. military operation against Iran.