Record #7989
The Senate will have a 50-50 partisan balance after the 2026 midterm elections.
PendingRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #7989 The Ben Shapiro Show · Friendly Fire: State of the Union Address Live
Original quoteThe generic congressional ballot has the Democrats up at five points. In all likelihood, that means the Republicans not only lose the house, but probably the Senate falls to 50-50.
Jump to quote · 11:22
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
How the call settles
YES if certified 2026 election results produce 50 Republican-aligned and 50 Democratic-aligned senators in the incoming Senate, before any vice-presidential tie-breaking; NO if the balance is anything else.
Our reasoning
Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: YES if certified 2026 election results produce 50 Republican-aligned and 50 Democratic-aligned senators in the incoming Senate, before any vice-presidential tie-breaking; NO if the balance is anything else. Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.