Imperium AmericanumIndependent intelligence · Public evidence
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Record #7988

Republicans will lose control of the House in the 2026 midterm elections.

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #7988

    The Ben Shapiro Show · Friendly Fire: State of the Union Address Live

    Original quote
    The generic congressional ballot has the Democrats up at five points. In all likelihood, that means the Republicans not only lose the house, but probably the Senate falls to 50-50.
    Jump to quote · 11:22
Prediction time2026-02-25

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-02-25
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-11-03
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

YES if certified 2026 election results give Democrats control of the incoming House; NO if Republicans retain control of the incoming House.

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: YES if certified 2026 election results give Democrats control of the incoming House; NO if Republicans retain control of the incoming House. Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.