Record #7988
Republicans will lose control of the House in the 2026 midterm elections.
PendingRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #7988 The Ben Shapiro Show · Friendly Fire: State of the Union Address Live
Original quoteThe generic congressional ballot has the Democrats up at five points. In all likelihood, that means the Republicans not only lose the house, but probably the Senate falls to 50-50.
Jump to quote · 11:22
Prediction time2026-02-25
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
Episode published2026-02-25
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-11-03
Boldness55 · Notable
How the call settles
YES if certified 2026 election results give Democrats control of the incoming House; NO if Republicans retain control of the incoming House.
Our reasoning
Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: YES if certified 2026 election results give Democrats control of the incoming House; NO if Republicans retain control of the incoming House. Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.