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Record #7986

Democrats will gain between 20 and 25 U.S. House seats in the 2026 midterm elections.

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #7986

    The Ben Shapiro Show · Ep. 2374 - Candace Owens Is Evil

    Original quote
    Right now in the real-core politics polling average, Democrats have about a five point margin in the in the generic that would probably reflect itself in a pickup of some 20 seats, 20 to 25 seats.
    Jump to quote · 41:38
Prediction time2026-02-24

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-02-24
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-11-03
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

YES if certified 2026 House election results give Democrats a net gain of at least 20 and no more than 25 seats relative to their pre-election total; NO if their certified net gain is outside that inclusive range.

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: YES if certified 2026 House election results give Democrats a net gain of at least 20 and no more than 25 seats relative to their pre-election total; NO if their certified net gain is outside that inclusive range. Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.