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Record #7939

Senate Democrats will force a federal government shutdown beginning at the January 30, 2026 funding deadline over DHS and ICE funding.

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #7939

    Verdict (Ted Cruz) · Mayhem in Minneapolis: Why it's Happening, How to Stop it & Why Dems Will Shut the Government Down to Encourage More

    Original quote
    They are going to tell the narrative, we will not fund ice under any circumstances, and we will shut the government down.
    Quote begins at 31:31
Prediction time2026-01-26

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-01-26
FirmnessFirm
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-01-30
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

YES if a lapse in appropriations affecting at least one federal department or agency begins at the January 30 deadline after Senate Democrats withhold the votes needed for a funding measure over DHS or ICE funding; NO if no such shutdown begins at that deadline.

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because Senate Democrats withheld the votes needed for the DHS funding bill after the Jan 24, 2026 CBP killing of Alex Pretti in Minneapolis, demanding ICE/CBP reforms; when the Jan 30 deadline passed, a lapse in appropriations began at 12:01 a.m. Jan 31, 2026 affecting DHS and other departments (a partial shutdown lasting until Feb 3).. Applied stored rule: YES if a lapse in appropriations affecting at least one federal department or agency begins at the January 30 deadline after Senate Democrats withhold the votes needed for a funding measure over DHS or ICE funding; NO if no such shutdown begins at that deadline.

Outcome evidence

Senate Democrats withheld the votes needed for the DHS funding bill after the Jan 24, 2026 CBP killing of Alex Pretti in Minneapolis, demanding ICE/CBP reforms; when the Jan 30 deadline passed, a lapse in appropriations began at 12:01 a.m. Jan 31, 2026 affecting DHS and other departments (a partial shutdown lasting until Feb 3).

Outcome date: 2026-01-31

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-12

Basis: research