Imperium AmericanumIndependent intelligence · Public evidence
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Record #7908

Republicans will retain control of the U.S. Senate in the 2026 midterm elections.

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #7908

    Charlie Kirk · Arizona's AG Wants ICE Agents Dead

    Original quote
    the Senate is going to be tricky. I think we're going to hold the Senate. The real question is can we hold the House.
    Quote begins at 36:03
Prediction time2026-01-23

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-01-23
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-11-03
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

YES if Republicans retain Senate control after the 2026 elections, counting an aligned vice president's tie-breaking vote where applicable; NO if Democrats or another caucus gains control.

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: YES if Republicans retain Senate control after the 2026 elections, counting an aligned vice president's tie-breaking vote where applicable; NO if Democrats or another caucus gains control. Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.