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Record #7854

Venezuela's Chavista governing regime will fall within the next six months.

Incorrect

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #7854

    Verdict (Ted Cruz) · Inside the Room with the Heroic Soldiers Wounded in the Maduro Raid & with Venezuelan Opposition Leader Maria Corina Machado

    Original quote
    Look, it is entirely possible that in the next few months, in the next six months, we could see the regimes fall in Venezuela, in Cuba, and Iran.
    Quote begins at 22:16
Prediction time2026-01-16

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-01-16
FirmnessLoose
TopicForeign Policy
Resolve by2026-07-16
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

YES if Venezuela's Chavista governing regime in power on 2026-01-16 loses national governing power through collapse, overthrow, or formal replacement on or before 2026-07-16; NO if it remains the national government through that date.

Our reasoning

NO on the research record because After Maduro's January 3, 2026 capture, fellow Chavista/PSUV figure Delcy Rodriguez was installed as interim president and her administration (with brother Jorge Rodriguez heading the National Assembly) remained Venezuela's national government through the July 16, 2026 deadline and beyond — still negotiating a transition with the opposition as of August 2026, with no collapse, overthrow, or formal replacement of Cha.... Applied stored rule: YES if Venezuela's Chavista governing regime in power on 2026-01-16 loses national governing power through collapse, overthrow, or formal replacement on or before 2026-07-16; NO if it remains the national government through that date.

Outcome evidence

After Maduro's January 3, 2026 capture, fellow Chavista/PSUV figure Delcy Rodriguez was installed as interim president and her administration (with brother Jorge Rodriguez heading the National Assembly) remained Venezuela's national government through the July 16, 2026 deadline and beyond — still negotiating a transition with the opposition as of August 2026, with no collapse, overthrow, or formal replacement of Chavista governing power.

Outcome date: 2026-07-16

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-12

Basis: research