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Record #7806

Justice Samuel Alito will write an opinion in the Supreme Court transgender-athlete cases argued in January 2026.

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #7806

    Commentary Magazine · Blind (Liberal Supreme Court) Justice

    Original quote
    I guess what we should expect one or another Justice Alito to do based on his behavior yesterday that he will write some kind of an opinion if it's not the majority opinion that lays out this question
    Jump to quote · 15:49
Prediction time2026-01-14

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-01-14
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-06-30
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

YES if Justice Samuel Alito is the named author of a majority, plurality, concurring, or dissenting opinion in either of the two transgender-athlete cases argued in January 2026; NO if the Court disposes of both cases without an opinion authored by Alito.

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: YES if Justice Samuel Alito is the named author of a majority, plurality, concurring, or dissenting opinion in either of the two transgender-athlete cases argued in January 2026; NO if the Court disposes of both cases without an opinion authored by Alito. Deadline or event: 2026-06-30.