Record #7801
Cuba's current communist governing regime will fall within the next 90 days.
IncorrectRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #7801 Verdict (Ted Cruz) · Bonus: Daily Review with Clay and Buck with Ted Cruz
Original quoteI think there's a very real possibility that in the next ninety days we will see but the regime in Iran fall, and I think we could see the regime in Cuba fall.
Quote begins at 07:36
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
How the call settles
YES if Cuba's communist regime loses national governing power through collapse, overthrow, or formal replacement on or before 2026-04-13; NO if it remains the national government through that date.
Our reasoning
NO on the research record because Cuba's communist government under Miguel Diaz-Canel remained the national government through the April 13, 2026 deadline; on April 16, 2026 Diaz-Canel publicly said Cuba does not seek conflict with the U.S. but is prepared to fight amid pressure and blockade threats, and the ruling Communist Party held its Ninth Congress April 16-19, 2026 re-affirming leadership through 2031, with no collapse, overthrow, or replacem.... Applied stored rule: YES if Cuba's communist regime loses national governing power through collapse, overthrow, or formal replacement on or before 2026-04-13; NO if it remains the national government through that date.
Outcome evidence
Cuba's communist government under Miguel Diaz-Canel remained the national government through the April 13, 2026 deadline; on April 16, 2026 Diaz-Canel publicly said Cuba does not seek conflict with the U.S. but is prepared to fight amid pressure and blockade threats, and the ruling Communist Party held its Ninth Congress April 16-19, 2026 re-affirming leadership through 2031, with no collapse, overthrow, or replacement having occurred.
Outcome date: 2026-04-13
Verdict recorded: 2026-08-12
Basis: research