Record #7800
Iran's current governing regime will fall within the next 90 days.
IncorrectRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #7800 Verdict (Ted Cruz) · Bonus: Daily Review with Clay and Buck with Ted Cruz
Original quoteI think there's a very real possibility that in the next ninety days we will see but the regime in Iran fall, and I think we could see the regime in Cuba fall.
Quote begins at 07:36
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
How the call settles
YES if Iran's current Islamic Republic governing regime loses national governing power through collapse, overthrow, or formal replacement on or before 2026-04-13; NO if it remains the national government through that date.
Our reasoning
NO on the research record because Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli strike on February 28, 2026, and Iran underwent a severe succession crisis, but the Islamic Republic system itself was not overthrown or formally replaced: his son Mojtaba Khamenei was installed as the new Supreme Leader by March 8, 2026, and the Islamic Republic government continued to exercise national governing power (including negotiating and later imposin.... Applied stored rule: YES if Iran's current Islamic Republic governing regime loses national governing power through collapse, overthrow, or formal replacement on or before 2026-04-13; NO if it remains the national government through that date.
Outcome evidence
Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli strike on February 28, 2026, and Iran underwent a severe succession crisis, but the Islamic Republic system itself was not overthrown or formally replaced: his son Mojtaba Khamenei was installed as the new Supreme Leader by March 8, 2026, and the Islamic Republic government continued to exercise national governing power (including negotiating and later imposing tolls on Strait of Hormuz traffic) through and beyond the April 13, 2026 deadline.
Outcome date: 2026-04-13
Verdict recorded: 2026-08-12
Basis: research