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Record #7781

The Supreme Court will issue its ruling in the pending Trump-tariff case on January 14, 2026.

Incorrect

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #7781

    Charlie Kirk · Remembering "Dilbert" Creator Scott Adams

    Original quote
    Simultaneously, there is a Scotus ruling that we're eagerly awaiting, probably tomorrow, whether or not he's even lawfully legally able to do this.
    Quote begins at 23:14
Prediction time2026-01-13

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-01-13
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-01-14
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

YES if the Supreme Court releases an opinion, judgment, or order on January 14, 2026 that materially resolves the pending challenge to Trump's tariffs; NO if it releases no such decision that day.

Our reasoning

NO on the research record because As of January 14, 2026, the Supreme Court had not issued its tariff ruling; contemporaneous reporting noted the court 'could issue a ruling as soon as today... it had been expected to rule last week' but had not done so, and it remained undecided. The actual ruling striking down most IEEPA tariffs came February 20, 2026.. Applied stored rule: YES if the Supreme Court releases an opinion, judgment, or order on January 14, 2026 that materially resolves the pending challenge to Trump's tariffs; NO if it releases no such decision that day.

Outcome evidence

As of January 14, 2026, the Supreme Court had not issued its tariff ruling; contemporaneous reporting noted the court 'could issue a ruling as soon as today... it had been expected to rule last week' but had not done so, and it remained undecided. The actual ruling striking down most IEEPA tariffs came February 20, 2026.

Outcome date: 2026-01-14

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-12

Basis: research