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Record #7701

During Donald Trump's second term, the United States or Israel will carry out new direct military action against Iran intended to force the Iranian regime to surrender or fall.

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #7701

    The Young Turks · Ana Vs Ann - January 6, 2026

    Original quote
    And one other concerning and possibly foreshadowing element to this story is what President Donald Trump posted on Truth Social, saying that if Iran shoots and violently kills peaceful protesters, like Trump would like to be able to do here in the United States, which is their custom, the United States of America will come to their rescue. We are locked and loaded and ready to go. Thank you for your attention to this matter. So, Jake, I just, I think that at this point, I don't know how imminent it is, but knowing how much influence Israel has over our country, our government, knowing how persistent they are, and knowing how empty-headed Trump is when it comes to pretty much everything, but especially foreign policy these days, I think this is gonna happen under his watch.
    Quote begins at 06:35
Prediction time2026-01-07

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-01-07
FirmnessLoose
TopicForeign Policy
Resolve by2029-01-20
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

YES if after 2026-01-07 and by 2029-01-20 U.S. or Israeli forces conduct direct strikes against Iranian state or regime targets and the acting government publicly identifies compelling regime surrender, protecting anti-regime protesters, or toppling the regime as an operational purpose; NO if no such action occurs by the deadline.

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: YES if after 2026-01-07 and by 2029-01-20 U.S. or Israeli forces conduct direct strikes against Iranian state or regime targets and the acting government publicly identifies compelling regime surrender, protecting anti-regime protesters, or toppling the regime as an operational purpose; NO if no such action occurs by the deadline. Deadline or event: 2029-01-20.