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Record #7661

Andy Biggs will continue to lead the Arizona Republican gubernatorial-primary polls through the 2026 primary.

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #7661

    Charlie Kirk · The Great Venezuela Caper and America First

    Original quote
    you are dominating in the primary polls, which is going to continue.
    Quote begins at 15:47
Prediction time2026-01-05

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-01-05
FirmnessFirm
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-08-04
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

YES if Andy Biggs is in first place, including a tie for first, in every publicly released statewide poll of the Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary between January 5 and August 4, 2026; NO if any qualifying poll in that period places another candidate strictly ahead of him.

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because Every publicly released poll of the Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary from February through July 2026 showed Andy Biggs in first place (rising from about 40% to over 60%), and he won the July 21, 2026 primary outright with roughly 71.5% of the vote over David Schweikert.. Applied stored rule: YES if Andy Biggs is in first place, including a tie for first, in every publicly released statewide poll of the Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary between January 5 and August 4, 2026; NO if any qualifying poll in that period places another candidate strictly ahead of him.

Outcome evidence

Every publicly released poll of the Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary from February through July 2026 showed Andy Biggs in first place (rising from about 40% to over 60%), and he won the July 21, 2026 primary outright with roughly 71.5% of the vote over David Schweikert.

Outcome date: 2026-07-21

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-12

Basis: research