Imperium AmericanumIndependent intelligence · Public evidence
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Record #7631

Donald Trump will authorize a U.S. operation aimed at removing, capturing, or killing Iran's senior regime leadership by March 3, 2026.

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #7631

    Commentary Magazine · EMERGENCY POD: Venezuela!

    Original quote
    But I don't think you can stand here and say that my saying that at some point in the next two months, he might go in and try to decapitate the Iranian regime is like a crazy person talking.
    Jump to quote · 24:36
Prediction time2026-01-03

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-01-03
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-03-03
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

YES if Donald Trump authorizes and the United States commences, on or before March 3, 2026, a military or covert operation whose publicly documented objective includes removing, capturing, or killing Iran's supreme leader or other senior national regime leadership; NO if no such operation commences by that deadline.

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because On February 28, 2026, Trump authorized and the U.S., alongside Israel, launched Operation Epic Fury, a military campaign whose publicly documented objective included dismantling Iran's regime military threat; within 24 hours the strikes killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and senior aides and destroyed IRGC military and security sites, all before the March 3, 2026 deadline.. Applied stored rule: YES if Donald Trump authorizes and the United States commences, on or before March 3, 2026, a military or covert operation whose publicly documented objective includes removing, capturing, or killing Iran's supreme leader or other senior national regime leadership; NO if no such operation commences by that deadline.

Outcome evidence

On February 28, 2026, Trump authorized and the U.S., alongside Israel, launched Operation Epic Fury, a military campaign whose publicly documented objective included dismantling Iran's regime military threat; within 24 hours the strikes killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and senior aides and destroyed IRGC military and security sites, all before the March 3, 2026 deadline.

Outcome date: 2026-02-28

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-12

Basis: research