Record #7471

The US will not carry out the military operation (carrier strike forces plus paratroopers and Marines on Iranian soil) needed to force the Strait of Hormuz open

Scott Galloway: On Pivot · Prediction made 2026-06-23

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #74712026-06-23
Pivot · Starmer Resigns, Reflecting Pool Fiasco, and Amazon Dumps OpenAI Movie
Original quote
The Strait of Hormuz would take to keep it open would take two carrier strike forces, paratroopers and Marines on the ground on Iranian soil. That is not going to happen.
Quote begins at 12:10
Full episode · podcasts.apple.com

Prediction time2026-06-23

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-06-23

FirmnessFirm

TopicForeign Policy

Resolve byopen

Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

No US ground deployment on Iranian soil and no US military operation to forcibly reopen the Strait of Hormuz

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: No US ground deployment on Iranian soil and no US military operation to forcibly reopen the Strait of Hormuz Deadline or event: open.