Imperium AmericanumIndependent intelligence · Public evidence
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Record #7302

AI will crash in 2026

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #7302

    Pivot · AI Spending Spree, Crypto Winter, and Kara's Message to Jeff Bezos

    Original quote
    If you look at economic history as a ratio or as the ratio of tech ads being above a certain amount, it implies this year is when AI crashes.
    Quote begins at 13:57
Prediction time2026-02-10

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-02-10
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-12-31
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

AI-linked equities suffer a crash during calendar 2026 (peak-to-trough decline of ~30%+ in the leading AI names, and/or major AI-company failures/down rounds)

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: AI-linked equities suffer a crash during calendar 2026 (peak-to-trough decline of ~30%+ in the leading AI names, and/or major AI-company failures/down rounds) Deadline or event: 2026-12-31.