Record #7302
AI will crash in 2026
PendingRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #7302 Pivot · AI Spending Spree, Crypto Winter, and Kara's Message to Jeff Bezos
Original quoteIf you look at economic history as a ratio or as the ratio of tech ads being above a certain amount, it implies this year is when AI crashes.
Quote begins at 13:57
Prediction time2026-02-10
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
Episode published2026-02-10
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-12-31
Boldness55 · Notable
How the call settles
AI-linked equities suffer a crash during calendar 2026 (peak-to-trough decline of ~30%+ in the leading AI names, and/or major AI-company failures/down rounds)
Our reasoning
Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: AI-linked equities suffer a crash during calendar 2026 (peak-to-trough decline of ~30%+ in the leading AI names, and/or major AI-company failures/down rounds) Deadline or event: 2026-12-31.