Record #6801
A spoiler third-party or independent presidential run in 2028 will be mounted by Tulsi Gabbard, Thomas Massie, or Joe Kent
PendingRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #6801 Timcast · DOJ Launches INVESTIGATION Into Trump Accuser For LYING w/ Bradley Devlin
Original quoteSo I think there's a strong probability of a spoiler third party run from Gabbard Massey, Kent or otherwise that polls default lives
Quote begins at 46:10
Prediction time2026-05-28
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
Episode published2026-05-28
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2028-11-07
Boldness55 · Notable
How the call settles
At least one of Tulsi Gabbard, Thomas Massie, or Joe Kent formally launches an independent or third-party presidential campaign for the 2028 election.
Our reasoning
Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: At least one of Tulsi Gabbard, Thomas Massie, or Joe Kent formally launches an independent or third-party presidential campaign for the 2028 election. Deadline or event: 2028-11-07.