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Record #6783

The Kalshi 'Democrat House and Democrat Senate' balance-of-power contract price will fall from its roughly 43% level

Tim Pool: On Timcast · Prediction made

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #6783

    Timcast · Democrats LOSE VA Redistricting w/ Sam Numberg

    Original quote
    The only thing that can happen is this goes down. All of the redistricting war stuff we're seeing is favoring Republicans.
    Quote begins at 28:40
    Full episode · 94d7402b-3bfc-4a4d-b7df-97320e5d220b.libsyn.com
Prediction time2026-05-09

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-05-09
FirmnessFirm
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-11-03
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

Kalshi's Democrat-sweep balance-of-power contract trades below the ~43% level quoted on 2026-05-09

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: Kalshi's Democrat-sweep balance-of-power contract trades below the ~43% level quoted on 2026-05-09 Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.