Record #6700
Brandon Herrera will beat Tony Gonzales in the Texas 23rd congressional district Republican primary held 2026-03-03
CorrectRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #6700 Timcast · WE'RE GOING IN w/ Austin Rodgers & Adam Johnson
Original quoteI, I do think that Brandon's going to pull it out. It's just just maybe just my hope speaking, but, you know, I, I, I have full confidence here in a really good campaign.
Quote begins at 1:31:26
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
How the call settles
Certified TX-23 Republican primary results show Herrera finishing ahead of Gonzales in the March 3, 2026 primary vote (settles on the primary count, not the runoff)
Our reasoning
YES on the research record because Certified March 3, 2026 TX-23 Republican primary results show Brandon Herrera first with 43.3% (23,932 votes) ahead of incumbent Tony Gonzales at 41.8% (23,073), with Keith Barton 8.5% and Francisco Canseco 6.4% of 55,263 total votes. Election-night partial counts had briefly shown Gonzales leading, but the certified canvass has Herrera on top.. Applied stored rule: Certified TX-23 Republican primary results show Herrera finishing ahead of Gonzales in the March 3, 2026 primary vote (settles on the primary count, not the runoff).
Outcome evidence
Certified March 3, 2026 TX-23 Republican primary results show Brandon Herrera first with 43.3% (23,932 votes) ahead of incumbent Tony Gonzales at 41.8% (23,073), with Keith Barton 8.5% and Francisco Canseco 6.4% of 55,263 total votes. Election-night partial counts had briefly shown Gonzales leading, but the certified canvass has Herrera on top.
Outcome date: 2026-03-05
Verdict recorded: 2026-08-09
Basis: research