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Record #6700

Brandon Herrera will beat Tony Gonzales in the Texas 23rd congressional district Republican primary held 2026-03-03

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #6700

    Timcast · WE'RE GOING IN w/ Austin Rodgers & Adam Johnson

    Original quote
    I, I do think that Brandon's going to pull it out. It's just just maybe just my hope speaking, but, you know, I, I, I have full confidence here in a really good campaign.
    Quote begins at 1:31:26
Prediction time2026-03-04

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-03-04
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-03-03
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

Certified TX-23 Republican primary results show Herrera finishing ahead of Gonzales in the March 3, 2026 primary vote (settles on the primary count, not the runoff)

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because Certified March 3, 2026 TX-23 Republican primary results show Brandon Herrera first with 43.3% (23,932 votes) ahead of incumbent Tony Gonzales at 41.8% (23,073), with Keith Barton 8.5% and Francisco Canseco 6.4% of 55,263 total votes. Election-night partial counts had briefly shown Gonzales leading, but the certified canvass has Herrera on top.. Applied stored rule: Certified TX-23 Republican primary results show Herrera finishing ahead of Gonzales in the March 3, 2026 primary vote (settles on the primary count, not the runoff).

Outcome evidence

Certified March 3, 2026 TX-23 Republican primary results show Brandon Herrera first with 43.3% (23,932 votes) ahead of incumbent Tony Gonzales at 41.8% (23,073), with Keith Barton 8.5% and Francisco Canseco 6.4% of 55,263 total votes. Election-night partial counts had briefly shown Gonzales leading, but the certified canvass has Herrera on top.

Outcome date: 2026-03-05

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-09

Basis: research