Record #6672
Trump will not escalate the Iran war into a ground operation to seize the Strait of Hormuz and pursue regime change
PendingRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #6672 The Bulwark · Bill Kristol and John Heilemann: Taking a Wrecking Ball to the Military
Original quoteI mean, whatever the possibility of doing that was five months ago and it didn't work and I don't think Trump was ever going to do quite enough. Well, I'm not sure he could have, honestly, but I don't think he's going to do it now.
Quote begins at 21:02
Prediction time2026-07-27
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
Episode published2026-07-27
FirmnessLoose
TopicForeign Policy
Resolve byopen
Boldness55 · Notable
How the call settles
No US ground invasion/ground troop operation inside Iran aimed at seizing the Strait of Hormuz or toppling the regime is launched during the current Iran conflict
Our reasoning
Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: No US ground invasion/ground troop operation inside Iran aimed at seizing the Strait of Hormuz or toppling the regime is launched during the current Iran conflict Deadline or event: open.