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Record #6664

US gasoline prices will rise roughly another 15 cents in the week following July 20, 2026

Incorrect

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #6664

    The Bulwark · Sarah Longwell and Bill Kristol: We're Governed by Broken Men

    Original quote
    yeah, they're up already like 13 points this past week. And I think going to go up another 15 points this coming week, just because that's already baked into the wholesale prices.
    Quote begins at 22:06
Prediction time2026-07-20

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-07-20
FirmnessLoose
TopicEconomy
Resolve by2026-07-27
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

AAA/EIA national average regular gasoline price on ~July 27, 2026 is about 15 cents higher than on July 20, 2026

Our reasoning

NO on the research record because EIA weekly U.S. regular retail gasoline went from $4.001 on July 20, 2026 to $4.096 on July 27, 2026 — a rise of about 9.5 cents, not the roughly 15 cents predicted (AAA likewise showed $4.09 on both July 23 and July 30). Near miss: prices did keep climbing that week as he said, and the increase landed about two-thirds of the way to his named figure, though it fell short of 'about 15 cents.'. Applied stored rule: AAA/EIA national average regular gasoline price on ~July 27, 2026 is about 15 cents higher than on July 20, 2026.

Outcome evidence

EIA weekly U.S. regular retail gasoline went from $4.001 on July 20, 2026 to $4.096 on July 27, 2026 — a rise of about 9.5 cents, not the roughly 15 cents predicted (AAA likewise showed $4.09 on both July 23 and July 30). Near miss: prices did keep climbing that week as he said, and the increase landed about two-thirds of the way to his named figure, though it fell short of 'about 15 cents.'

Outcome date: 2026-07-27

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-09

Basis: research