Record #6662
The risk premium for shipping oil through the Strait of Hormuz will not come down in the near future (through roughly September 2026)
PendingRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #6662 The Bulwark · Bill Kristol and Ro Khanna: Two Governments Acting with Impunity
Original quoteBut the risk premium of stripping oil through the Strait is not going to go down in the very near future, I shouldn't think.
Quote begins at 27:43
Prediction time2026-07-13
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
Episode published2026-07-13
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-09-30
Boldness55 · Notable
How the call settles
War-risk insurance and freight rates for tankers transiting the Strait of Hormuz remain elevated with no material decline through roughly September 2026
Our reasoning
Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: War-risk insurance and freight rates for tankers transiting the Strait of Hormuz remain elevated with no material decline through roughly September 2026 Deadline or event: 2026-09-30.