Record #6601

The November 2026 midterms will be a good Democratic year, with Democrats making net congressional gains and winning the House

Bill Kristol: On The Bulwark · Prediction made 2026-05-18

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #66012026-05-18
The Bulwark · Bill Kristol: Voters Are Realizing Trump Doesn’t Care About Them
Original quote
So I think the degree to which Trump at 37 means a good Democratic year this November, and that can't be overstated.
Quote begins at 08:01
Full episode · audioboom.com

Prediction time2026-05-18

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-05-18

FirmnessLoose

TopicElections

Resolve by2026-11-03

Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

Democrats post net House seat gains in the November 2026 midterms and win the House majority

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: Democrats post net House seat gains in the November 2026 midterms and win the House majority Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.