Record #6600
Trump's approval rating will fall below 37% later in 2026, ahead of the November midterms
PendingRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #6600 The Bulwark · Bill Kristol: Voters Are Realizing Trump Doesn’t Care About Them
Original quoteTrump could bounce back some of the 37. I expect these trends never go entirely in one direction for 10 months, you know, they'll be some uptick one month of a point. But it just is likely he'll be lower than 37
Quote begins at 08:10
Prediction time2026-05-18
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
Episode published2026-05-18
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-11-03
Boldness55 · Notable
How the call settles
Major polls/polling averages show Trump's approval below 37% at some point before the November 2026 midterms
Our reasoning
Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: Major polls/polling averages show Trump's approval below 37% at some point before the November 2026 midterms Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.