Record #6574

Democrats will NOT win control of the Senate in the November 2026 midterms (better than long odds but under 50-50)

Bill Kristol: On The Bulwark · Prediction made 2026-04-27

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #65742026-04-27
The Bulwark · Bill Kristol: Words Are Not Violence
Original quote
I think the Senate is doable. I would still, you probably live under 50 50, but it's not, you know, 90 10 either anymore.
Quote begins at 44:56
Full episode · audioboom.com

Prediction time2026-04-27

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-04-27

FirmnessLoose

TopicElections

Resolve by2026-11-03

Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

Republicans retain a Senate majority after the November 2026 midterm elections

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: Republicans retain a Senate majority after the November 2026 midterm elections Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.